Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.181091 0.211236 0.244297 0.283172 0.327553 0.376561 0.434694
2026-01-25 0.129572 0.169960 0.218989 0.282523 0.362273 0.458621 0.583351
2026-02-01 0.099620 0.142972 0.199811 0.278997 0.385532 0.522839 0.711941
2026-02-08 0.079492 0.123119 0.184137 0.274395 0.402900 0.577378 0.829817
2026-02-15 0.063395 0.105231 0.167252 0.264027 0.408853 0.614612 0.925241
2026-02-22 0.057046 0.100411 0.167923 0.278050 0.449761 0.702910 1.098455
2026-03-01 0.047433 0.088588 0.155889 0.270626 0.456910 0.741653 1.201666
2026-03-08 0.039337 0.077799 0.143731 0.260958 0.458679 0.771293 1.292236
2026-03-15 0.033400 0.069732 0.134836 0.255206 0.465503 0.808465 1.396351
2026-03-22 0.029998 0.065759 0.132430 0.260055 0.490051 0.875453 1.552531
2026-03-29 0.027865 0.063878 0.133490 0.271000 0.525821 0.963305 1.748881
2026-04-05 0.025339 0.060761 0.131751 0.276435 0.552040 1.036614 1.925558
2026-04-12 0.022664 0.056960 0.128326 0.278543 0.572888 1.103130 2.097196
2026-04-19 0.020127 0.053038 0.124145 0.278693 0.590093 1.164605 2.264773
2026-04-26 0.017634 0.048751 0.118578 0.275293 0.599941 1.213191 2.412339
2026-05-03 0.015400 0.044662 0.112838 0.270754 0.606891 1.256584 2.552971
2026-05-10 0.013089 0.039917 0.104924 0.260512 0.601085 1.275026 2.647868
2026-05-17 0.012581 0.039826 0.107778 0.274366 0.646527 1.395649 2.944590
2026-05-24 0.010901 0.036193 0.101639 0.267032 0.646126 1.425699 3.067937
2026-05-31 0.009335 0.032550 0.094923 0.257480 0.639838 1.443173 3.167287
2026-06-07 0.008157 0.029807 0.090083 0.251798 0.641501 1.476804 3.300799
2026-06-14 0.007561 0.028744 0.089519 0.256588 0.667410 1.562725 3.545948
2026-06-21 0.007248 0.028539 0.091262 0.267401 0.708229 1.682907 3.868891